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Law of Small Numbers
"Specifically, because of a false belief called the 'law of small numbers,' people attribute negative serial correlation to an identical and independently distributed stochastic process."
Shefrin (2001) [book]
Top 10 Papers
TVERSKY, A. and D. KAHNEMAN, 1971. Belief in the law of small numbers . Psychological Bulletin. [Cited by 566 ] (15.62/year)
RABIN, M., 2002. INFERENCE BY BELIEVERS IN THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS . Technology. [Cited by 99 ] (18.91/year)
QUATTRONE, G.A. and E.E. JONES, pan>. … perception of variability within in-groups and out-groups: Implications for the law of small numbers. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1980<. [Cited by 66 ] (?/year)
SCHMIDT, F.L. and J.E. HUNTER, 1978. Moderator research and the law of small numbers . Personnel Psychology. [Cited by 28 ] (0.96/year)
MURAKI, N., 2001. Monotonic independence, monotonic central limit theorem and monotonic law of small numbers . Infin. Dimens. Anal. Quantum Probab. Relat. Top. [Cited by 17 ] (2.73/year)
GUY, R.K., 1988. The Strong Law of Small Numbers . The American Mathematical Monthly. [Cited by 14 ] (0.73/year)
GARDNER, M., D.J. ALBERS and P.L. RENZ, 2005. [BOOK] Mathematical Games . eric.ed.gov. [Cited by 468 ] (209.40/year)
KAHNEMAN, D., P. SLOVIC and A. TVERSKY, 1982. [BOOK] Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases . books.google.com. [Cited by 3376 ] (133.78/year)
KAHNEMAN, D. and A. TVERSKY, 1971. Belief in the law of small numbers . Psychological Bulletin. [Cited by 8 ] (0.22/year)
KONTOYIANNIS, I., P. HARREMOES and O. JOHNSON, 2005. Entropy and the law of small numbers . Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on. [Cited by 8 ] (3.58/year)
Bibliograpgy
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BAQUERO, G. and M. VERBEEK, 2006. Do Sophisticated Investors Believe in the Law of Small Numbers? . [Cited by 2 ] (1.62/year)
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BURNS, B.D., 2002. Does the law of small numbers explain the gambler's fallacy? . Forty-Third Annual Meeting of the Psychonomic Society, …. [Cited by 4 ] (0.76/year)
BURNS, B.D. and B. CORPUS, 2004. Randomness and inductions from streaks:" Gambler's fallacy" versus" Hot hand.” . Psychonomic Bulletin & Review. [Cited by 21 ] (6.49/year)
BUSCHE, K. and P. KENNEDY, 1984. On Economists' Belief in the Law of Small Numbers . Economic Inquiry. [Cited by 7 ] (0.30/year)
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GUY, R.K., 1988. The Strong Law of Small Numbers . The American Mathematical Monthly. [Cited by 14 ] (0.73/year)
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GUY, R.K., 1990. The Second Strong Law of Small Numbers . Mathematics Magazine. [Cited by 2 ] (0.12/year)
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KACHELMEIER, S.J. and W.F. MESSIER, 1990. An Investigation of the Influence of a Nonstatistical Decision Aid on Auditor Sample Size Decisions . The Accounting Review. [Cited by 35 ] (2.03/year)
KAHNEMAN, D., 2003. A Psychological Perspective on Economics . The American Economic Review. [Cited by 64 ] (15.11/year)
KAHNEMAN, D. and A. TVERSKY, 1971. Belief in the law of small numbers . Psychological Bulletin. [Cited by 8 ] (0.22/year)
KAHNEMAN, D. and A. TVERSKY, e study of statistical intwitions . hci.ucsd.edu. [Cited by 139 ] (?/year)
KAHNEMAN, D., I. RITOV and D. SCHKADE, 1999. Economic Preferences or Attitude Expressions?: An Analysis of Dollar Responses to Public Issues . Journal of Risk and Uncertainty. [Cited by 140 ] (17.00/year)
KAHNEMAN, D., P. SLOVIC and A. TVERSKY, 1982. [BOOK] Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases . books.google.com. [Cited by 3376 ] (133.78/year)
KEH, H.T., M.D. FOO and B.C. LIM, 2002. Opportunity Evaluation under Risky Conditions: The Cognitive Processes of Entrepreneurs . Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice. [Cited by 37 ] (7.07/year)
KONTOYIANNIS, I. and P. FLARREMO?S, 0. Johnson,“Entropy and the law of small numbers,”. Preprint. Available at www. dam. brown. edu/people/yiannis. [Cited by 2 ] (?/year)
KONTOYIANNIS, I., P. HARREMOES and O. JOHNSON, 2005. Entropy and the law of small numbers . Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on. [Cited by 8 ] (3.58/year)
KOOPMAN, B.O., 1950. A Generalization of Poisson's Distribution for Markoff Chains . Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. [Cited by 5 ] (0.09/year)
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LOEHLE, C., 1987. Hypothesis Testing in Ecology: Psychological Aspects and the Importance of Theory Maturation . The Quarterly Review of Biology. [Cited by 50 ] (2.47/year)
MATTHEW, R., pan>. Inference By Believers in the Law of Small Numbers. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2002<. [Cited by 2 ] (?/year)
MITCHELL, R.K., et al. , 2002. Toward a Theory of Entrepreneurial Cognition: Rethinking the People Side of Entrepreneurship … . Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice. [Cited by 64 ] (12.23/year)
MOORE, D.S., 1997. New Pedagogy and New Content: The Case of Statistics . International Statistical Review/Revue Internationale de …. [Cited by 161 ] (15.73/year)
MULLEN, B. and L. HU, 1989. Perceptions of ingroup and outgroup variability: A meta-analytic integration . Basic and Applied Social Psychology. [Cited by 69 ] (3.78/year)
MURAKI, N., 2001. Monotonic independence, monotonic central limit theorem and monotonic law of small numbers . Infin. Dimens. Anal. Quantum Probab. Relat. Top. [Cited by 17 ] (2.73/year)
ODLYZKO, A.M. and H.S. WILF, 1988. The Editor's Corner: n Coins in a Fountain . The American Mathematical Monthly. [Cited by 12 ] (0.62/year)
QUATTRONE, G.A. and E.E. JONES, pan>. … perception of variability within in-groups and out-groups: Implications for the law of small numbers. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1980<. [Cited by 66 ] (?/year)
QUATTRONE, G.A. and E.E. JONES, pan>. The judgment of dispersion within ingroup and outgroup: Implications for the law of small numbers. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1980<. [Cited by 2 ] (?/year)
QUINE, M.P. and E. SENETA, 1987. Bortkiewicz's Data and the Law of Small Numbers . International Statistical Review/Revue Internationale de …. [Cited by 2 ] (0.10/year)
RABIN, M., 2002. INFERENCE BY BELIEVERS IN THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS . Technology. [Cited by 99 ] (18.91/year)
RABIN, M., pan>. The law of small numbers. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2002<. [Cited by 3 ] (?/year)
RABIN, M., 1998. Psychology and Economics . Journal of Economic Literature. [Cited by 929 ] (100.60/year)
REDELMEIER, D.A., S.H. TAN and G.L. BOOTH, pan>. The Treatment of Unrelated Disorders in Patients with Chronic Medical Diseases - all 2 versions » . New England Journal of Medicine, 1998<. [Cited by 211 ] (?/year)
ROGERS, P., 1998. The Cognitive Psychology of Lottery Gambling: A Theoretical Review . Journal of Gambling Studies. [Cited by 22 ] (2.38/year)
SALMASI, A., et al. , 1991. On the system design aspects of code division multiple access (CDMA) applied to digital cellular and … . Vehicular Technology Conference, 1991.'Gateway to the Future …. [Cited by 134 ] (8.25/year)
SANITIOSO, R. and Z. KUNDA, 1991. Ducking the collection of costly evidence: Motivated use of statistical heuristics . Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. [Cited by 17 ] (1.05/year)
SCHEFFER, L. and E. NEQUIST, 2000. Why interconnect prediction doesn't work . Proceedings of the 2000 international workshop on System- …. [Cited by 21 ] (2.90/year)
SCHMIDT, F.L., 1996. Statistical significance testing and cumulative knowledge in psychology: Implications for training … . Psychological Methods. [Cited by 365 ] (32.49/year)
SCHMIDT, F.L. and J.E. HUNTER, 1978. Moderator research and the law of small numbers . Personnel Psychology. [Cited by 28 ] (0.96/year)
SCHMIDT, F.L. and J.E. HUNTER, 1980. The future of criterion-related validity . Personnel Psychology. [Cited by 12 ] (0.44/year)
SCHMIDT, F.L. and J.E. HUNTER, 1984. A within setting empirical test of the situational specificity hypothesis in personnel selection . Personnel Psychology. [Cited by 11 ] (0.47/year)
SCHWENK, C.R., 1984. Cognitive Simplification Processes in Strategic Decision-Making . Strategic Management Journal. [Cited by 257 ] (11.06/year)
SEDLMEIER, P. and G. GIGERENZER, 1997. Intuitions about sample size: the empirical law of large numbers . Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. [Cited by 28 ] (2.74/year)
SEDLMEIER, P. and G. GIGERENZER, 1989. Do studies of statistical power have an effect on the power of studies . Psychological Bulletin. [Cited by 164 ] (8.99/year)
SHAUGHNESSY, J.M., 1977. Misconceptions of probability: An experiment with a small-group, activity-based, model building … . Educational Studies in Mathematics. [Cited by 42 ] (1.39/year)
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THORNDIKE, R.L., 1985. The central role of general ability in prediction . Multivariate Behavioral Research. [Cited by 39 ] (1.75/year)
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TIROLE, J., 2002. Rational Irrationality: Some Economics of Self-Management . European Economic Review. [Cited by 42 ] (8.02/year)
TVERSKY, A., 1982. Belief in the law of small numbers in Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuritics and Biases (Kahneman D, …. [Cited by 2 ] (0.08/year)
TVERSKY, A., 1982. Belief in the law of small numbers. In, D. Kahneman, P. Slovic and A. Tversky (eds) Judgement under …. [Cited by 2 ] (0.08/year)
TVERSKY, A., aud D. Kahneman (1971)," Belief in the law of small numbers"[J]. Psychological Bulletin. [Cited by 2 ] (?/year)
TVERSKY, A., pan>. Kahneman, D.(1971). Belief in the law of small numbers. D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, 6<. [Cited by 2 ] (?/year)
TVERSKY, A. and D. KAHNEMAN, 1982. ? ?Belief in the law of small numbers, ” in Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases, …. [Cited by 2 ] (0.08/year)
TVERSKY, A. and D. KAHNEMAN, 1971. Belief in the law of small numbers . Psychological Bulletin. [Cited by 566 ] (15.62/year)
VITOUCH, O. and J. GLUECK, 1997. “Small group PETting:” Sample sizes in brain mapping research . Human Brain Mapping. [Cited by 6 ] (0.59/year)
WACHOLDER, S., et al. , 2004. Assessing the Probability That a Positive Report is False: An Approach for Molecular Epidemiology … . jnci. [Cited by 289 ] (89.34/year)
WATSON, J.M. and J.B. MORITZ, 2000. Developing Concepts of Sampling . Journal for Research in Mathematics Education. [Cited by 35 ] (4.84/year)
WHITAKER, L., 1914. On the Poisson Law of Small Numbers . Biometrika. [Cited by 4 ] (0.04/year)
ZEILBERGER, D., 1992. [PS] A proof of Julian West's conjecture that the number of two-stack-sortable permutations of length n … . Discrete Math. [Cited by 37 ] (2.43/year)